Friday, February 26, 2016

Confirmation Bias

FB and my dear friend G strike again.  We crossed swords with the sea level rise as G had posted the blurb about the rate of increase being the highest in 2800 years.

Why look so short term?  I posted a graph of the last 20,000 years.  That didn't go over well and I was accused of not seeing the obvious because of my political views.  (The rate of change in the last 8000 years is pretty much nothing and it's orders of magnitude less than other periods post glacial.)

Since G has never asked what they were, this is kind of frightening.  :-)

And that leads us to this question: Can one's political view bias a question that can be enumerated?

Well, G thinks it can and does -- at least in my case.

Let's assume that he is correct.  But does this apply generally?  Is G blinded by his views?  G has yet to answer that and to be open here, I didn't push it as a question, just a closing comment about how he might be also a victim of such a bias.

But that might be obvious to G, who doesn't like graphs and numbers seem to be not easily at his command.  But obvious anecdotal stuff sure is.

No, I'm guessing the G was through with the discussion - he's avoided some in the past - and likes to limit discussion in various ways and I think this was one of them.  Was he through due to being busy or a feeling of discomfort or feeling the discussion wasn't going his way?   So he tossed about 5 strawmen on the fire and dropped the topic.  Pity.


No comments:

Post a Comment